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- AFC East / North / South / West
- NFC East / North / South / West
The New England Patriots have won the AFC East in 11 of the last 13 seasons, and 16 of the last 19. The Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills (last two years) are the teams to take it from the Pats in that timeframe.
The Buffalo Bills had been suffering through the longest drought before winning the division the last two years. Prior to their 2020 AFC East championship, they had not won the division since 1995. But none of that matters now that they’re back-to-back AFC East champions.
Odds to Win the AFC East
Betting odds as of December 20 from Caesars Sportsbook. If you’re not already signed up, claim the best signup bonus with our Caesars Sportsbook promo code.
Here are some notes on the AFC East odds movement:
- [December 12] The Bills have moved from heavy -440 favorites to win the division to -1300 favorites after they beat the Jets in Week 14 and the Dolphins lost to the Chargers.
- [November 13] A second straight loss has resulted in the Bills dropping to third in the AFC East standings, but they remain the odds-on favorites to win the division. Buffalo’s odds did at least fade from -275 to -180.
- [November 6] The Bills’ divisional odds faded from -1200 to -550 after losing to the Jets in Week 9. Miami, who picked up a win over the Bears, went from +1000 to +575.
- [September 25] Buffalo remains the odds-on favorite to win the AFC East after losing to the Dolphins in Week 3. The Bills’ divisional odds did fade from -400 to -260, though.
- [September 11] The Patriots’ odds to win the AFC East faded from +450 to +900 after losing to Miami in Week 1. The Buffalo Bills have become even heavier favorites, though, after a dominant performance against the Rams.
- [March 23] With the acquisition of Tyreek Hill, the Miami Dolphins’ divisional odds quickly improved from +675 to +430. It didn’t take long for their odds to continue improving, now landing at +400. This ties them with the Patriots for the second-best odds to win the AFC East, while Buffalo remains the favorite. The Bills’ odds did worsen a little, though, going from -225 to -185.
- [February 24] The Buffalo Bills, who have won the AFC East each of the last two seasons, have opened as heavy odds-on favorites to win the division in the 2022-23 NFL season. The Patriots have opened with the second-best odds to win the AFC East at +330, while the Jets are again extreme long shots at +2500.
Three different teams have won the AFC North in the last three seasons. The Cleveland Browns are the odd team out, not having won the division since 1989. The Bengals are the reigning AFC North champions after their remarkable 2021-22 season.
Odds to Win the AFC North
Odds as of December 20.
Here are some notes on the AFC North odds movement:
- [December 18] The Bengals have taken back over as the favorites to win the AFC North after they beat the Bucs in Week 15 and the Ravens lost to the Browns.
- [December 4] Cincinnati got a huge win over the Chiefs in Week 13, while the Ravens lost Lamar Jackson for what is believed to be days or weeks, but not for the season, to injury. Baltimore’s divisional odds faded from -260 to -140. The Bengals closed the gap, moving from +215 to +120.
- [October 10] A win over the Bengals in Week 5 has turned the Ravens back into odds-on favorites to win the AFC North. Baltimore’s divisional odds went from +100 to -200 with the win. Every other team in the division suffered a loss in Week 5.
- [September 11] In spite of losing to the Steelers in Week 1, the Bengals still have the second-best odds to win the AFC North. Their odds did dip from +160 to +330, though. Pittsburgh still has the worst odds to win the division, but they did improve from +1100 to +550.
- [August 18] The Browns’ divisional odds have taken another dip with the NFL announcing an 11-game suspension for Deshaun Watson. Cleveland was once the favorite to win the AFC North, but are now +450 and well behind the Ravens and Bengals.
- [July 26] The Baltimore Ravens have taken over as the favorites to win the AFC North with Deshaun Watson reportedly likely to face some sort of suspension. The Browns’ divisional odds have faded from +170 all the way to +320.
- [March 18] The Cleveland Browns have gone from the third-best odds to win the AFC North to the best odds after Deshaun Watson has chosen them as his preferred trade destination. Cleveland will be giving up three first-round picks, as well as a third-round and a fourth-round pick. They have taken over as the favorites to win their division already. Both Cincinnati and Baltimore see their divisional odds fade from +175 to +210.
- [March 13] Adding Amari Cooper from the Cowboys has not resulted in the Browns’ AFC North odds improving whatsoever, according to Caesars Sportsbook.
- [March 9] The Bengals and Ravens are now listed as co-favorites to win the AFC North. There has not been any major player movement to drive this change, rather the public feeling Cincinnati may not be perennial contenders just yet.
- [February 24] After surprisingly winning the AFC North last season, the Bengals have opened as the favorites to win the division again in 2022. They are only slight favorites over the Ravens, who are given +190 odds to win the AFC North. With Ben Roethlisberger retiring, the Steelers are given the worst odds to win the division at +650.
The AFC South has been claimed by the Houston Texans in six of the last 11 seasons. The Tennessee Titans reign as back-to-back AFC South champs, though, snapping a drought that hadn’t seen them win it since 2008.
Odds to Win the AFC South
Odds as of December 20.
Here are some notes on the AFC South odds movement:
- [December 18] After losing to the Chargers in Week 15, paired with the Jaguars upsetting the Cowboys, Tennessee is still favored to win the AFC South. The Titans’ odds did fade from -580 to -150, though. Jacksonville improved from +460 to +130.
- [October 23] Tennessee beat Indianapolis for the second time this season in Week 7 (19-10). With the win, the Titans are back to being the favorites to win the AFC South. Their divisional odds improved from +160 to -125.
- [October 4] Indianapolis was still favored to win the AFC South after losing to the Titans in Week 4, but Jacksonville took over as of Monday in spite of losing to the Eagles the day prior.
- [September 25] The Colts remain the favorites to win the AFC South after upsetting the Chiefs in Week 3, but the Jaguars now have the second-best odds to win the division after their 2-1 start.
- [September 18] Indianapolis was shutout in Week 2 by the Jaguars, keeping them winless on the season. The Colts’ odds to win the AFC South went from -140 to +135, while Jacksonville’s divisional odds improved from +650 to +360
- [September 7] The Colts enter the 2022-23 NFL season as pretty significant odds-on favorites to win the AFC South. Indianapolis’ divisional odds have improved from -115 to -140, as Tennessee’s have faded from +140 to +190.
- [July 26] The Colts have become odds-on favorites to win the AFC South thanks to the Titans trading away AJ Brown during the NFL Draft.
- [March 21] With the Colts acquiring Matt Ryan, Indianapolis is now listed as the co-favorite to win the AFC South alongside the Tennessee Titans. The Colts’ odds improved from +150 to +115.
- [March 11] After trading away their starting quarterback Carson Wentz, the Colts’ divisional odds went from +145 to +150. Sportsbooks obviously do not think much of Wentz, and believe Indianapolis will wind up with a serviceable quarterback for the 2022-23 NFL season.
- [February 24] The Titans have opened as the odds-on favorites to win the AFC South in the 2022-23 NFL season. The Colts aren’t too far behind at +140 odds, as uncertainty at quarterback is potentially having a positive impact on their odds vs the team relying on Carson Wentz. The Jaguars and Texans find themselves listed at +1100 and +2200 odds, respectively.
The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos are the only two teams to have claimed the AFC West in the last 12 seasons, with the former having won it each of the last six seasons.
The Chargers have not won the division since 2009 and you have to go back to 2002 to see the last time the Raiders sat atop the AFC West.
Odds to Win the AFC West
Odds as of December 9.
Here are some notes on the AFC West odds movement:
- [December 18] The Chiefs officially clinched the AFC West title after a Week 15 win over the Texans.
- [September 18] The Chiefs win over the Chargers on TNF of Week 2, paired with another terrible Broncos performance and a Raiders loss, has resulted in Kansas City becoming odds-on favorites to win the AFC West for the first time since March.
- [September 7] The Chargers continue to see their divisional odds improve ahead of kickoff, as they have improved from +250 to +220, closing the gap between them and Kansas City while breaking away from the Broncos.
- [March 23] While everyone else in the division seems to be adding serious star power to their roster, the Chiefs have lost their top receiver Tyreek Hill. Kansas City has traded Hill to the Miami Dolphins in exchange for a package of five draft picks, one of them being Miami’s first-round pick in 2022. The Chiefs’ divisional odds continue to worsen as a result, going from +130 to +155. Everyone else in the division sees slight improvement to their odds to win the AFC West.
- [March 18] Though the Raiders still have the worst odds to win the AFC West after acquiring Davante Adams, they did improve from +1100 to +700. Kansas City’s odds faded a little more as a result, now landing at +130.
- [March 13] The Chiefs are still favored to win the AFC West, but are no longer the odds-on favorites after the Chargers made a big splash of their own, acquiring Khalil Mack from the Bears. Kansas City’s odds to win the division are just +100 now, while LA’s only improved from +425 to +400.
- [March 9] The Chiefs have gone from -175 favorites to win the AFC West to -110 favorites after the Broncos acquired Russell Wilson in a blockbuster trade with the Seahawks. Denver’s divisional odds improved from +430 to +240, the second-best odds to win the division.
- [February 24] The opening odds to win the AFC West list the Kansas City Chiefs as -175 favorites. The Chargers come in second at +400 odds, with the Broncos just behind them at +450. Denver’s potential to land Aaron Rodgers is the reason we aren’t seeing their divisional odds open longer.
The NFC East has not had a repeat winner since the Philadelphia Eagles won four straight from 2001-2004. Three different teams have won the division in the last three years, with Dallas being the reigning NFC East champion. The Giants have not won the NFC East since 2011.
Odds to Win the NFC East
Odds as of December 18.
Here are some notes on the NFC East odds movement:
- [November 14] The Commanders handed the Eagles their first loss of the season on Monday Night Football of Week 10. With the loss, Philadelphia went from -850 favorites to win the NFC East to -400.
- [September 27] The Giants dropped from +900 to +1000 after losing to Dallas on MNF. The Cowboys shortened from +450 to +430
- [September 20] The Eagles looked dominant against the Vikings on MNF of Week 2, flustering Kirk Cousins all night while Jalen Hurts made quarterbacking look far too easy. Philadelphia is now an even heavier -210 favorite to win the NFC East and are looking like true contenders in the NFC.
- [September 12] Not only did the Cowboys get embarrassed on Sunday Night Football of Week 1, they have also lost QB Dak Prescott for likely several weeks with a broken throwing hand. Dallas now has the worst odds to win the division, while the Eagles are now odds-on favorites, going from +130 to -145. Both the Commanders and Giants saw a boost in their NFC East odds with wins in Week 1.
- [September 7] The Eagles have overtaken the Cowboys as the favorites to win the NFC East ahead of kickoff for the 2022-23 NFL season. Philadelphia’s divisional odds are listed at +130, while Dallas is a close second at +140.
- [July 26] The Dallas Cowboys are no longer odds-on favorites to win the NFC East. Dallas remains the favorite, but their odds faded from -130 to +115 thanks to the Eagles acquiring AJ Brown from the Titans during the NFL Draft. Philadelphia’s divisional odds have gone from +320 to +185.
- [March 11] The Washington Commanders have traded for Carson Wentz, but their divisional odds only improved from +500 to +475.
- [February 24] The Dallas Cowboys have opened as heavy odds-on favorites to win the NFC East. The Eagles and Washington Commanders are give +350 and +500 odds, respectively. The Giants trail well behind at +900.
Three different teams have won the NFC North in the last five years, with the Packers being back-to-back-to-back champs entering 2022. The Detroit Lions are the odd team out, as they haven’t won the division since 1993. The Tampa Bay Buccaneers have won the division more recently (1999), but were relocated to the NFC South in 2002.
Odds to Win the NFC North
Odds as of December 9.
Here are some notes on the NFC North odds movement:
- [December 17] The Vikings have clinched the NFC North title in Week 15, thanks to an historic comeback win over the Colts.
- [December 4] In spite of beating the Bears in Week 13, the Packers can no longer win the NFC North due to the Vikings getting another win.
- [November 6] The Vikings improved from extremely heavy -1100 favorites to win the NFC North to even heavier odds-on favorites at -3000 odds. This comes after Minnesota beat Washington in Week 9, while the Packers lost to the Lions.
- [October 16] The Minnesota Vikings are heavy -320 favorites to win the NFC North after they beat the Dolphins in Week 6, while the Packers dropped to 3-3 thanks to a loss to the Jets at home.
- [October 9] For the first time this season, the Packers are not favored to win the NFC North. The Minnesota Vikings have taken over as the odds-on favorites with -125 odds after Week 5. The Vikings take the top spot after beating the Bears while the Packers lost to the Giants.
- [September 11] Even though they were dominated by the Vikings in Week 1, the Packers remain the favorites to win the NFC North. Green Bay’s odds did fade from -170 to +115, though.
- [March 18] The Packers remain heavy odds-on favorites to win the NFC North despite trading away their best receiver, Davante Adams, to the Raiders. Green Bay’s odds did fade slightly, though, from -210 to -190.
- [March 9] Thanks to Aaron Rodgers announcing he will be returning to the Packers for the 2022-23 NFL season, Green Bay’s divisional odds improved from -145 to -200. Minnesota’s NFC North odds fell from +240 to +340 with Rodgers staying put.
- [February 24] Due to the uncertainty around Aaron Rodgers’ future, it took sportsbooks a little longer to open the NFC North odds. However, they are now available and list the Packers as -150 favorites to win the division. The Vikings are second on the board at +250 odds, with the Bears and Lions well back at +600 and +1200. respectively.
The New Orleans Saints became the second team to repeat as NFC South champions in 2018, joining the Panthers, who won the division from 2013-2015. New Orleans went on to win the NFC South in four straight seasons from 2017 to 2020, with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers snapping that streak in 2021.
Odds to Win the NFC South
Odds as of December 20.
Here are some notes on the NFC South odds movement:
- [October 30] Tampa Bay is still -140 odds-on favorites to win the NFC South after Week 8 saw the Atlanta Falcons take sole possession of first place in the division.
- [October 23] Even though the Bucs entered Week 7 at 3-3, they were still extremely heavy -600 odds-on favorites to win the NFC South. After an unthinkable loss to the Panthers as 13-point favorites in Week 7, Tampa Bay is still -270 favorites to win the division.
- [March 21] With the Saints re-signing Jameis Winston and the Falcons dealing Matt Ryan, to sign Marcus Mariota, Tampa Bay’s odds to win the NFC South continue getting better.
- [March 18] New Orleans and Atlanta both missed out on Deshaun Watson, as he chose to waive his no-trade clause to be dealt to the Browns instead. Tampa Bay has gone back to -225 odds to win the NFC South, and the rest of the division sees their odds fade significantly.
- [March 17] The Saints’ divisional odds have improved from +475 to +300 thanks to the belief that New Orleans is the front-runner to acquire Deshaun Watson from the Texans. Atlanta’s odds have also improved significantly, though, going from +1300 to +300 as well. The Falcons are the other team believed to be in the Watson sweepstakes. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Saints at +275 and Falcons at +400.
- [March 13] Tom Brady has announced he is unretiring and returning to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers for the 2022-23 NFL season. The Bucs have moved from +125 favorites to win the NFC South to -225 odds-on favorites. The Saints saw their odds fall from +260 to +475.
- [February 24] In spite of Tom Brady retiring, the Tampa Bay Buccaneers have still opened as the favorites to win the NFC South in the 2022-23 NFL season. They are not odds-on favorites, though, with most sportsbooks listing them at around +110 odds. The other three teams are bunched between +300 and +500 odds to win the division, with the Saints being second on the board.